Caldas vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CAL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GDA
1 - 2
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
GDA
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GDA
2 - 2
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
POM
0 - 0
GDA
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GDA
3 - 0
CDT
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |