Caldas vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
6º
22
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
AMO
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
REA
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 1
OLI
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
GDF
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
2 - 0
GDF
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |