Caldas vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
77.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ANG
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 3
CAL
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOR
55%
26%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SCP
4 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |