Caldas vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
68.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
COV
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOR
22%
28%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
AMO
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAN
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 0
BEL
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 2
BEL
9%
16%
75%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
TON
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |