Caldas vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 3
CAL
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDT
2 - 1
BEN
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
CDT
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDT
1 - 1
OLI
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
POM
3 - 0
CDT
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
CDT
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |