Caldas vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
FAT
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVN
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 3
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 6
ORI
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |