Caldas vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
15%
20%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
POM
1 - 2
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 3
CAL
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
BEN
71%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
POM
3 - 1
BEN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
CDT
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |