Caldas vs AD Portomosense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 1
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 2
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
ADP
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 1
MAF
12%
22%
66%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | -1 |