Caldas CF vs Villagarcía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAD
3 - 2
CAL
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
RAP
53%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COB
0 - 2
CAL
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
ARC
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAL
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Villagarcía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOS
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
FIG
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAD
1 - 5
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
RAP
19%
20%
61%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
COB
3 - 1
VIL
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |