Caldas CF vs UVCD Candean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PON
4 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NIG
1 - 4
CAL
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
GRA
37%
23%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
PON
38%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UVCD Candean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
NIG
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CAN
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
RAP
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ERI
3 - 0
CAN
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
PON
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |