Caldas CF vs Unión Dena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAM
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
SAL
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USD
2 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Dena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UDE
4 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LTA
3 - 1
UDE
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UDE
1 - 1
SES
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 0
UDE
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
UDE
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |