Caldas CF vs Umia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAL
32%
22%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
MOR
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PON
2 - 7
CAL
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
MAR
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
ADR
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UMI
3 - 1
PUE
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
UMI
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
UMI
2 - 0
PON
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
UMI
41%
24%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |