Caldas CF vs SDR San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MOA
6 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDE
4 - 3
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
AMA
37%
24%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SDR San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 1
SES
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SES
0 - 2
CAN
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 0
SES
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SES
3 - 0
CAM
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |