Caldas CF vs Rápido Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 3
CAL
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 4
ERI
12%
17%
70%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UMI
3 - 2
CAL
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
PON
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SES
3 - 0
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rápido Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ERI
2 - 1
RAP
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 2
PON
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOA
3 - 0
RAP
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RAP
1 - 1
UDE
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
RAP
51%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |