Caldas B vs Rapido Bahia analysis


9	ELO	12
-1.1%	Tilt	-0.8%
16814º	General ELO ranking	13479º
5367º	Country ELO ranking	3198º
ELO win probability

36.6%

Caldas B

22%

Draw

41.4%

Rapido Bahia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

36.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%

22%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

22%

41.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%