Caldas B vs Cesantes CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
52.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
+959%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
CRU
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
POI
2 - 1
CAL
49%
20%
30%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
5 - 1
CAL
80%
12%
9%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 5
COT
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
CAL
50%
20%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesantes CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
POI
62%
17%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
CES
4 - 5
SAL
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 0
CES
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
CES
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CES
5 - 1
BAR
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |