Valcalepio vs Foresto Sparso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valcalepio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 2
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 1
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Foresto Sparso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
ZOG
47%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
CAL
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
FOR
22%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |