Valcalepio vs Baradello Clusone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valcalepio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 2
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Baradello Clusone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZOG
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
BAR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
BRE
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 3
BAR
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |