Padova vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAD
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
CLO
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 1
PAD
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
ACD
1 - 1
AVE
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ACD
0 - 0
TER
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
PIN
2 - 2
ACD
27%
30%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ACD
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 2
ACD
25%
29%
46%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |