Padova vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 0
ABN
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
PAD
13%
22%
66%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
TRE
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
PAD
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
IMO
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACD
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 0
VIS
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACD
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 2
PES
38%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |