Padova vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAD
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
0 - 0
RIM
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 1
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
USF
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TAR
3 - 0
VIR
30%
29%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |