Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
4 - 0
VIS
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 2
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 2
RAV
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UAR
1 - 1
SSS
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 1
FAN
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |