Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 0
PAD
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FCS
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
ANC
2 - 2
PAD
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 4
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
VNZ
1 - 3
PAD
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
SSS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 1
ANC
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
SSS
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
ABN
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |