Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
PAD
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 1
VER
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAD
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 0
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 2
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
4 - 2
VER
37%
30%
33%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |