Padova vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 0
ASG
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
SAS
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 2
SOR
33%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 2
SPE
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
PIS
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 0
PIS
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |