Padova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
VER
0 - 0
PAD
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
PAD
1 - 1
USC
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
COS
0 - 1
PAD
57%
27%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 1
FIA
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 0
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
TER
0 - 1
LEC
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
59%
26%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |