Padova vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
28.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
COM
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
29%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
62%
25%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
GEN
3 - 2
LAZ
49%
30%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |