Padova vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAD
4 - 0
VIS
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
3 - 2
VIR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
FCS
22%
29%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SSS
0 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
70%
19%
10%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |