Padova vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
LEO
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 2
SPE
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VER
3 - 2
CRO
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |