Padova vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
4 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
PES
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
USF
2 - 1
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 3
PES
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 3
SPE
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |