Padova vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 1
PAD
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 3
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
3 - 0
EMP
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
JUS
2 - 1
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |