Padova vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PRG
3 - 2
PAD
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
4 - 1
PAD
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 1
USF
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PES
0 - 1
CTT
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 2
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 1
CTT
17%
25%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |