Padova vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
VER
1 - 0
PAD
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 4
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAN
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
FIO
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPA
38%
33%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |