Lecco vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OLG
0 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LEC
4 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALZ
3 - 3
LEC
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACM
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
35%
27%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACC
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
ACM
36%
26%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAP
3 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |