Lecco vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 5
VIN
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 0
REN
32%
27%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 0
LEC
79%
15%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
BOR
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 1
USA
25%
27%
48%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAV
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
1 - 2
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
SAV
3 - 0
VIN
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |