Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Lecco vs Pordenone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
ANC
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ANC
2 - 2
LEC
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
LEC
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pordenone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
ABN
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
LEO
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
POR
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |