Lecco vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
28.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
LEC
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
SPA
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 1
LEC
63%
22%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 0
PAG
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
ARZ
24%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
USF
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 1
TER
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |