Lecco vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 2
ASL
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
SIE
3 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 0
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 1
MOD
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MOD
1 - 0
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
MOD
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |