Lecco vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
LEC
1 - 1
INT
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 2
LEC
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
MOD
0 - 1
REG
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 4
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VER
4 - 1
MOD
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 3
VNZ
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |