Lecco vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USA
2 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
3 - 1
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASS
4 - 0
LEC
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
GER
1 - 1
OLB
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 0
GER
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PON
0 - 2
GER
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 1
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 4
GER
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |