Lecco vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
MAN
51%
28%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 1
BRE
26%
30%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
42%
30%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |