Lecco vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
DCA
5 - 0
LEC
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 2
PSM
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
LEC
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 3
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 1
SER
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 1
DAR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
UAR
1 - 2
DAR
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
CIS
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |