Lecco vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ACL
2 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
PON
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 0
LEC
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 1
DAR
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 1
LEV
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 2
CIS
32%
25%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |