Lecco vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FCV
4 - 2
LEC
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PRG
33%
29%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PER
4 - 0
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
19%
27%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
4 - 2
FCV
68%
20%
11%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |