Lecco vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
26%
28%
46%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPA
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
ALV
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 1
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |