Lecco vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 0
COM
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
USF
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
USF
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |