Lecco vs AC Castellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEC
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 3
LEC
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
SON
68%
17%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
INV
0 - 6
LEC
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 1
ACC
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACC
1 - 0
SON
21%
22%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
INV
3 - 1
ACC
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 0
FOL
32%
28%
40%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |