Desenzano Calvina vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DES
2 - 3
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
DES
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
DES
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
USP
1 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 4
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
DES
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |