Desenzano Calvina vs US Breno analysis

Desenzano Calvina US Breno
37 ELO 38
-7.6% Tilt -3.9%
3126º General ELO ranking 5769º
101º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Desenzano Calvina
23.2%
Draw
35.4%
US Breno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
Desenzano Calvina
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.4%
Win probability
US Breno
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Desenzano Calvina
-23%
-31%
US Breno

Points and table prediction

Desenzano Calvina
Their league position
US Breno
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
15º
36
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lumezzane
74
77
100%
Alcione
72
72
100%
Casatese
58
59
100%
Arconatese
56
57
100%
Desenzano Calvina
50
53
58%
US Ponte San Pietro
51
51
42%
Franciacorta
51
51
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
47
48
61.5%
Varesina
46
47
61.5%
Calcio Brusaporto
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Seregno
12º
38
41
11º
100%
Villa Valle
11º
39
39
12º
30.5%
Folgore Caratese
14º
36
39
13º
10.5%
Real Calepina
13º
36
37
14º
16%
US Breno
15º
36
37
15º
45%
Città di Varese
16º
33
33
16º
92.5%
Sona Calcio
17º
26
26
17º
100%
Caronnese
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Desenzano Calvina
US Breno
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
58% 0%
Mid-table
42% 55%
Relegation play-offs
0% 45%

ELO progression

Desenzano Calvina
US Breno
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
VIL
Villa Valle
2 - 0
Desenzano Calvina
DES
33%
22%
44%
37 32 5 0
11 Sep. 2022
CAL
Real Calepina
0 - 0
Desenzano Calvina
DES
26%
23%
52%
37 32 5 0
04 Sep. 2022
DES
Desenzano Calvina
3 - 0
Sona Calcio
SON
63%
19%
18%
37 29 8 0
28 Aug. 2022
DES
Desenzano Calvina
2 - 2
Varesina
VAR
50%
23%
26%
37 34 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
FER
Union Brescia
3 - 1
Desenzano Calvina
DES
79%
14%
8%
37 59 22 0

Matches

US Breno
US Breno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
USB
US Breno
2 - 2
Sona Calcio
SON
66%
18%
16%
39 30 9 0
11 Sep. 2022
VAR
Varesina
3 - 1
US Breno
USB
34%
23%
42%
40 35 5 -1
04 Sep. 2022
USB
US Breno
1 - 1
Real Calepina
CAL
69%
18%
14%
40 32 8 0
28 Aug. 2022
USB
US Breno
2 - 2
Villa Valle
VIL
54%
22%
24%
40 33 7 0
15 May. 2022
USB
US Breno
0 - 2
Villa Valle
VIL
74%
16%
10%
41 30 11 -1