Desenzano Calvina vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
DES
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DES
4 - 0
UNI
31%
21%
48%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DES
67%
17%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
SAN
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
DES
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
USB
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USB
0 - 0
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 0
USB
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
USB
1 - 3
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |